FiveThirtyEight's election forecast model runs 1,000 simulations ... to the widest—Newsweek calculated what the electoral map could look like if the best-case scenarios for Trump and Harris ...

Allan Lichtman, a historian and professor at American University known for accurately predicting presidential elections, has said he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win. He first made the ...

Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver ...

Allan Lichtman, a historian and professor at American University known for accurately predicting presidential elections, has said he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win. He first made the ...

Peter Thiel made a "contrarian" prediction that the election wouldn't be close. He was right: Trump is on track to sweep the swing states, and he overperformed in blue states. Thiel has a history ...

Some prediction markets remained inconsistent right up until election day, with PredictIt and Polymarket still showing conflicting probabilities just days before voters went to the polls.

Vice President Kamala Harris is set to win Nevada, according to election analytics firm 338Canada's most recent prediction model, after trailing behind former President Donald Trump for the last ...

A market economist known for his accuracy makes 2024 election predictions. The predictions come with one week until the 2024 presidential election. A leading market economist made his prediction ...

Maps showing partisan shift compare the results from places that have reported almost all of their votes with the 2020 presidential vote. Source: Election results and race calls are from The ...

In September, the conservative tech billionaire Peter Thiel made what he himself said was an unusual prediction about the 2024 election. "I think the odds are slightly in favor of Trump ...